Skip to main content

Market Context

Status: Verified against code Last Updated: 2026-04-23

What This Means

No trade happens in isolation. The algorithm looks at the broader market to understand if conditions favor your trade.

What We Get

Major Indices

TickerWhat It Represents
SPYS&P 500 (broad market)
QQQNASDAQ-100 (tech-heavy)
VIXVolatility Index (fear gauge)

ES Futures Correlation (For Crypto)

When analyzing CRYPTO trades, we check S&P 500 futures:

  • ES > +0.5% → Bullish for BTC correlation
  • ES < -0.5% → Bearish for BTC correlation
  • ES flat → No strong signal

Market Regime Classification

The Macro Agent classifies the current market as:

RegimeMeaningImpact
Risk-OnStocks up, VIX downFavors long trades
Risk-OffStocks down, VIX upFavors short trades or caution
NeutralMixed signalsNo strong bias
TransitioningChanging conditionsHigher uncertainty

Cross-Asset Analysis

The algorithm compares:

  • Your ticker vs SPY direction
  • Your ticker vs QQQ direction
  • Sector alignment (is your ticker moving with or against its sector?)

Note on OPTIONS coverage: As of 2026-04-23, QQQ context is provided for all OPTIONS trade-plan requests — including non-index underlyings like AMD, NVDA, and AAPL. Previously QQQ was only fetched for index ETF options (SPY, QQQ, DIA, IWM). The Macro Agent's tech-sector section now shows real QQQ data for every options trade.

How We Use It

Macro Agent synthesizes all market context into:

  1. Market regime classification
  2. Confidence level (0-100%)
  3. Cross-asset alignment assessment
  4. Economic assessment

Supervisor Agent uses this to:

  • Confirm or challenge the Technical Agent's direction
  • Adjust confidence levels
  • Note market headwinds/tailwinds in the trade plan