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Market Context

Status: Verified against code Last Updated: 2026-04-23

What This Means​

No trade happens in isolation. The algorithm looks at the broader market to understand if conditions favor your trade.

What We Get​

Major Indices​

TickerWhat It Represents
SPYS&P 500 (broad market)
QQQNASDAQ-100 (tech-heavy)
VIXVolatility Index (fear gauge)

ES Futures Correlation (For Crypto)​

When analyzing CRYPTO trades, we check S&P 500 futures:

  • ES > +0.5% → Bullish for BTC correlation
  • ES < -0.5% → Bearish for BTC correlation
  • ES flat → No strong signal

Market Regime Classification​

The Macro Agent classifies the current market as:

RegimeMeaningImpact
Risk-OnStocks up, VIX downFavors long trades
Risk-OffStocks down, VIX upFavors short trades or caution
NeutralMixed signalsNo strong bias
TransitioningChanging conditionsHigher uncertainty

Cross-Asset Analysis​

The algorithm compares:

  • Your ticker vs SPY direction
  • Your ticker vs QQQ direction
  • Sector alignment (is your ticker moving with or against its sector?)

Note on OPTIONS coverage: As of 2026-04-23, QQQ context is provided for all OPTIONS trade-plan requests — including non-index underlyings like AMD, NVDA, and AAPL. Previously QQQ was only fetched for index ETF options (SPY, QQQ, DIA, IWM). The Macro Agent's tech-sector section now shows real QQQ data for every options trade.

How We Use It​

Macro Agent synthesizes all market context into:

  1. Market regime classification
  2. Confidence level (0-100%)
  3. Cross-asset alignment assessment
  4. Economic assessment

Supervisor Agent uses this to:

  • Confirm or challenge the Technical Agent's direction
  • Adjust confidence levels
  • Note market headwinds/tailwinds in the trade plan